Analysis of the Iowa Strawpoll Results

Source:  Lew Rockwell Blog

Analysis

Posted by Lew Rockwell at August 11, 2007 08:42 PM
Writes Jay Roberts: “This is stellar result. Yeah, I know some were hoping second or third, I suppose we should always aim high. He is a real candidate now. Not a kook, not a fringe, not a tin hat. He got almost 10%. He’s also not a shoo-in, but he clearly has the most dedicated supporters. This all of a sudden has got a lot more interesting.”

Adds Paul Anderson: “Based on these results, I don’t expect anybody but Cox to bail out. Ron Paul placed 5th, despite (ahem) problems with the machine, and everyone below him except Cox & Hunter are annointed ‘Top Tier’ who didn’t participate. I’ve seen too much good press for Hunter to expect him to bail, and nobody else has any reason to at this point. Which is great for Ron Paul and a primary split.”

Says Gene Trosper: “Instead of being disappointed in the Iowa Straw Poll results, Ron Paul supporters should be heartened that their candidate did relatively well in his first real “on the ground” test. So many naysayers had predicted a very low placement of Ron Paul, they now need to eat a bit of humble pie. The best news or Ron Paul’s campaign in Iowa is that they now have a baseline by which they can study what went right and what went wrong. It affords them the opportunity to fine tune and come back even stronger.”

and more:

Romney wasn’t burned in a day

Posted by Max Raskin at August 11, 2007 10:37 PM
Though everyone would have liked to see Paul come in the top three, I think this is realistically what everyone was expecting. Grassroots campaigning takes time; thankfully, this is something that Paul has enough of.

The most encouraging news of the day was by the end of the festivities, people wearing Romney tee-shirts were wandering into the Paul tent to find out more about the Congressman. There is a genuine interest in the libertarian message of limited government.

With Paul announcing that the campaign had raised over $75,000 in one day this week and the media starting to take notice, there is little doubt that Paul will remain a presence in this race. Furthermore, as the real second-tier candidates start dropping out, their supporters will have to go somewhere, along with the attention the media has devoted to them. If Paul sticks to his message, people will embrace it–they just need to discover it.

The snowball is only beginning to pick up momentum…

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